Monday, 24 October 2011

WE HAVE MOVED!

DUE TO THE RECENT POPULARITY OF THIS BLOG WE HAVE MOVED TO A NEW PREMISES

WE CAN NOW BE FOUND AT

http://leroysbettingtips.co.uk/

Sunday, 23 October 2011

Free Football Betting Tip:- Teplice v *Sparta Praha*

Teplice will host League Leaders Sparta Praha on Monday evening in the Czech Liga.

Teplice have had an average start to the season, they currently sit in midtable with 14 points from 10 games.

Whilst they maybe happy with 4 wins to their name, 3 of those came away from home and its at home where they have really been struggling so far.

Their only home win came against Pribram 2-1 and Teplice have already lost to Hradec Kralove 0-3 and Mlada Boleslav 1-3.

Teplice were promoted from the second division the season before last and whilst they will be happy to have survived their first season back in the top flight, they wont be challenging for any honours in the near future.

The reason is the quality gap between the top 3 or 4 teams in this league to everyone else.

Whilst the top teams have their off days (same as in any league) sides like Teplice are very rarely able to compete with them in the league.

This may have not been said of Sparta Praha last season, they are the first to admit they suffered one too many blips last season despite finishing Second in the league, however they look back to their absolute best this season.

Sparta Praha did lose their last league game which was home defeat but before that they had won their last 9 games in a row in all competitions, scoring 26 goals and conceding just 3 times during that run.

They followed up that defeat by  bouncing back in the cup Wednesday night recording a 1-4 win at Znojmo.
Sparta Praha are top of the league currently with a 5 point cushion and also this game in hand.

They have won 9 of their 10 league games.

They have already beaten the other 2 biggest sides in this league, Jablonec 2-1 at home and even more impressively beating Champions Victoria Plzen 0-2 on their own turf, a game in which they dominated from the word go.

Praha have been exceptional away from home winning all 5 of their games so far.

They have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 4 away games whilst scoring 9.

Sparta Praha certainly look to be at their best after losing out on the championship narrowly last year and they are rightful favourites to win it back this time round.

I rarely find much value in the 1x2 markets but the 1.8 on offer with Stan James for the away win appeals massively to me.

We have an average side at home who are playing their best football away, against the strongest side in the league who are currently playing their best football away.

I am convinced Sparta Praha will run out comfortable winners in this one and I feel the odds will have shortened in the lead up to the game so take the 1.8.

NO BET DAY 23/10/11

Despite a range of fixtures today, nothing really interests me so I am going to take the opportunity to have a day off and spend some quality time with the other half and kids.


Good luck to anyone parting with their cash today


Leroy

Saturday, 22 October 2011

Free Football Betting Tip:- Fluminense *Score Both Halves* v Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense will welcome Atletico Mineiro to Rio tonight as both sides aiming for points at opposite ends of the Brazilian Serie A.

Fluminense are on fantastic form currently and they just 5 points away from league leaders Corinthians, a side they recently beat at home.

They have only tasted defeat once in their past 6 games which was a 3-2 away loss at their great rivals Flamengo.

Fluminense were seriously unlucky in that game however and led the game 2-1 only to concede 2 silly goals in the final minutes of the game.

Other then that they have been great and their recent home record is outstanding.

They have won 9 of their last 10 home games including their last 5 in a row.

They have scored at least once in all 10 of these games

The majority of these games have been won very comfortably and in their last 5 games they have scored 13 times.

Last time out Fluminense beat Cortiba here 3-1 and missed a penalty in the second half, when Fluminense need a win they attack from the first minute of the game and they are very exciting to watch.

They have some great attackers in the likes of Fred, Rafael Moura and Rafael Sobis who have scored a combined 28 goals so far this season.

Fred has been the most impressive, he netted a hatrick in that 3-1 win over Cortiba and in their most recent game, a 1-2 win away to Palmeiras he scored both goals, bringing his total tally this season to 10.

Portuguese veteran Deco, although at the latter end of his career is still a constant threat on the ball and has not lost any of his creativity from midfield.

Mineiro are at the other end of the table and involved in a relegation battle.

They are in the drop zone currently and need a win tonight to take them out of it.

They are on poor form with just 1 win in their last 7 games.

That win came at home and away from home is where they really struggle.

Mineiro have won just once away from home in 15 games and they have lost 11 of them.

I predict Mineiro will be relegated this season, they are on a downward spiral at the moment and the players just look to have no confidence or self belief what so ever.

This is still a game in which they are going to have to play for a win however, in fact every game is now if they are to get out of the drop zone, but I just don't see it happening.

With both teams needing the 3 points this should create yet another very open game in Rio and I can easily see Fluminense getting on the score sheet in both halves of this match, the same way they have in their last 6 halves in Rio.

With odds as low as 1.44 for the home win there is some fantastic value at 2.5 with Paddy Power for Fluminense to score in Both Halves and that's what I will be taking for my second tip of the day.

Football News :- Solskjaer to return to England?


Former Manchester United star Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is Portsmouth FC's top target to take over as manager.

Solskjaer who has also been linked with the Blackburn Rovers hotseat has impressed since taking the manager job at Molde back in his home country of Norway and is close to wrapping up the championship for them.

Last night Portsmouth owner Vladimir Antonov flew out to Norway to try and convince the Norwegian legend to take the reins of his club back in England.

The 38 year old was Reserve Chief of Manchester United after he retired from football and as a player he made 366 appearances for the club and scored 126 goals.

I personally was a huge fan of Solskjaer as a player and would love to see him one day match Sir Alex Ferguson head to head in a premier League game.
My most memorable moment of his career was his last min goal which you can see in this tribute video below

Friday, 21 October 2011

Free Football Betting Tip:- Malaga v Real Madrid (Score In Both Halves)

Malaga play host to Real Madrid on Saturday night in the Spanish Liga

Real Madrid have been on fire this season, I have been tipping them regularly in a variety of markets this year as they continue to impress me under Jose Mourinho.

This season he has them in the best possible shape and I feel they have their best opportunity to challenge Barcelona for the Championship and also European success.

They destroyed teams throughout pre season and out played Barcelona over two legs in the Spanish Super Copa despite losing out in the end by a single late goal.

In the Liga they have slipped up once away to Levante although they did play most of the game with just 10 men and Ozil and Ronaldo both started on the bench.

They have already had some spectacular wins this campaign and have won their last 5 games in a row in all competitions.

Real have won 0-6 at Zaragoza and 0-4 at Espanyol this season and have had other wins of 6-2 over Rayo Vallecano and recently in the league they beat Betis 4-1.

In Europe Real have won all 3 of their games without conceding a goal.

Real have so much class throughout their side with the likes of Ronaldo, Ozil, Benzema, Higuian, De Maria, Alonso, Kaka amongst many other household names.

They are now a unit and play their football as a unit and I feel they are capable of scoring goals where ever they go.

Malaga have been playing well this season to be fair too them, despite being held away to Zaragoza and losing to both Levante and Sevilla  on the road, they have been saving their best football for their home fans and have won all 3 of their games so far.

The thing is, they haven't really been tested yet I don't feel, at home anyway.

They beat Granada 4-0 in their opener but Granada have been very poor so far and I am convinced they will go straight back down this season.

Malaga then beat Athletic Bilbao 1-0 who are another team playing very below par.

Their most recent home game was a 3-2 win over Getafe, so their home defence was compromised for the first time here on two separate occasions.

The visit of Real Madrid will be their first big test for their defence and I cant imagine them being able to cope with it.

Malaga struggle at the back against pace and that is a massive thing Ronaldo and Co will be bringing with them, they just have bags of the stuff.

If Madrid have a weakness it would be that they do still on occasion concede silly goals, so I wouldn't write off Malaga scoring in this game.

That is why my best bet for this game would be once again, Real Madrid to Score in Both Halves.

Real will score against most of their opponents in both halves this season, whether they are playing home or away is not an issue, they just have too much in attack to not score goals.

Get ready for some value, Totesport currently have this market priced at 2.25, this is a great price and needs to be taken quickly in my opinion, other bookies have this as low as 1.75 which is a lot nearer to what I would personally price this market at.

Free Football Betting Tip:- Telstar v MVV *Over 3 Goals*

Telstar welcome MVV to the TATA Steel Stadium tonight in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

I'm going back to the Second tier of Dutch football tonight or the land of goals, as I like to call it.

After tipping Telstar and Fortuna Sittard to produce over 3 goals on Monday night, I sat down to enjoy the game.

As predicted we saw an open end to end game and in the end it featured a massive 7 goals with Telstar winning 2-5.

Although Telstar only conceded 2 goals that night, they defended terribly and they should have conceded 3 goals in the first 15 minutes of the game to be fair.

Defences were all over the shop from both teams and open chances were continually created.

I was not surprised to see the game play out as it did, that is a typical kind of game in this league, rarely a week goes past where you don't see a game feature at least 5 goals and the majority of games all feature at least 3.

I mentioned in my last tip that I used to put a £10 accumulator on every game in this division to go over 2.5 goals and it used to come in often.

Telstar return tonight to face MVV and I expect more of the same tonight from this one.

That game against Sittard was Telstar's 6th game out of their last 7 to go over the 2.5 goal mark with 5 of those going over 3.5 and some beyond that.

Like their 7-3 defeat to Zwolle in their game before that and their 3-2 defeat to Willem II not long before that.

Football is rarely played in any other style in this league with both sides usually just taking it turns to attack each other at full throttle, this leads to plenty of attempts and goal and more importantly defencive errors which can sometimes offer goals on a plate.

MVV fall into this category also, 8 of their 10 games in all competitions this season have gone over 2.5 goals with 5 of those going over 3.5 and beyond.

Also 4 of those 5 games came away from home which aids this bet massively.

They recently lost 2-1 at Go Ahead Eagles, hammered ARC 0-8 in the cup and before that were involved in a 3-3 draw at Dordrecht and just last week drew 3-3 again, this time with Helmond Sport.

So as you can see, MVV are another side that consistency scores and concedes goals for fun.

Its obvious what to expect when 2 sides like this are due to meet and over 2.5 goals at 1.57 looks a given.

Instead though I fancy the game to go over 3.5 again although as I did on Monday I will take over 3 goals just in case the unpredictably of this league catches up with us.

This way if the game features exactly 3 goals then we will have our stakes returned and the bet is effectively void.

Over 3 goals is still available at a very generous 2.06 with Ladbrokes, I feel any game in this division offering above evens for over 3 goals is worth taking in its current state and some bookies are as low as 1.88 for this same market so snap it up quick.